Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 0.4% to 0.5% at a 51% chance, ahead of 0.2% to 0.3% at 22% and 0.6% to 0.7% at 9%.
Exactly one bracket receives YES for the UK real GDP quarter-on-quarter change in Q3 2026. Measure the figure to one decimal place from the Office for National Statistics first quarterly estimate for Q3, scheduled for 12 November 2026 (ET); later revisions are ignored. A negative result belongs to the below-zero bracket, while a non-negative result belongs to its matching displayed range, including the upper endpoint. If the Q3 figure is not published by the scheduled release of the following quarter, use the latest available quarter instead. The ONS release is the primary record; its published table controls if news reports differ. Settlement may occur when that first release appears.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
