Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 20:52 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Morgan Stanley at a 83% chance, ahead of Goldman Sachs at 16% and Barclays at 1%.
This market resolves according to the bank that serves as lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by 05:59 CET on 1 January 2028, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market resolves to "Other." If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market resolves according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market resolves once it becomes conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter — for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market is official disclosures from Anthropic, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
