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As of 23 October 2026, 23:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 25% chance and No at 75%.
This prediction is about voter turnout in the second round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election, scheduled for 25 October 2026. Turnout is every ballot cast as a share of all registered, eligible voters, based on the official second-round figures published by Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE). YES only if that turnout is at least 76% but under 78%; otherwise NO. A figure sitting exactly on the edge between two bands belongs to the higher band. If definitive turnout figures are still not available at 11:59 PM ET on 30 June 2027, the outcome is treated as the lowest band (below 76%), so only that band is YES and every other band is NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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