Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 23 October 2026, 23:38 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 10% chance and No at 90%.
YES if the Bureau of Labor Statistics JOLTS release reports seasonally adjusted total nonfarm job openings in the United States for September 2026 below 6,800 thousand (6,800,000). Use the value shown for that month at the publication precision of thousands; a rounded summary elsewhere does not replace the table value. The first September report is scheduled for 3 November 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. If September’s figure is not published by 1 December 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, use the most recent earlier month that BLS has published by that deadline and apply the same threshold. A value at or above 6,800 thousand is NO. The official BLS JOLTS release and any official correction issued with that release decide; later revisions do not change the applicable first figure.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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