Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 78% chance and No at 22%.
This market resolves Yes if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET. Otherwise, it resolves No. A “new product line” means a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Qualifying examples include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console. A new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods model does not qualify. Resolution is based on official information from Apple.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @business
