Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 21:04 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Christopher Nolan at a 63% chance, ahead of Denis Villeneuve at 19% and Peter Farrelly at 8%.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences to honour outstanding artistic and technical achievement in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21 and the ceremony is set for March 14, 2027. This market resolves according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market resolves to "No" immediately. In the event of a tie, the market resolves in favour of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. Where an option lists more than one director, that option resolves to "Yes" if either listed director wins individually or if both win jointly. If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner alongside a director from another option, only the winning listed director's last name is considered for alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors' last names are considered for alphabetical ordering. If no winner is declared by 05:59 CET/CEST on July 1, 2027, this market resolves to "Other". The primary resolution source is official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including their website at https://www.oscars.org/ and the live broadcast of the ceremony, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
