Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is No Endorsement at a 85% chance, ahead of Likud at 13% and Yashar at <1%.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favour of the party that individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if that individual does not represent a party, to the next party the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only the party endorsed first or, should such a determination of timing not be possible, of whichever endorsed party comes first alphabetically. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for the purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by 05:59 CET on the morning after the earlier of December 31, 2026 or the day before the scheduled election, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
