Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 4% chance and No at 96%.
This market resolves Yes if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations on or before January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET. Otherwise, it resolves No. The primary resolution sources are official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Reuters
