
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 8% chance and No at 92%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber or Hailey Bieber announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of their intention to separate or divorce made before that deadline will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce falls outside the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Justin Bieber, Hailey Bieber, or their representatives. A definitive consensus of credible media reporting may also be considered.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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