Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Baba Wali at a 87% chance, ahead of Kassim Gana Geidam at 7% and Abdullahi Sharif at 4%.
YES belongs to the winner of Yobe State’s gubernatorial election scheduled for 6 February 2027. If formally rescheduled, use the replacement election for the term starting in 2027. Acting, interim and caretaker governors are ineligible. The winner must meet Nigerian law’s requirements, including the greatest vote total and the required geographic distribution. If nobody wins outright, await any further election or runoff held before the deadline. If no candidate has officially won, or the result remains uncertain, at 11:59 PM ET on 31 October 2027, the outcome is Other. Agreement among reputable reports determines the result; ambiguity is decided solely by INEC and Nigerian government official results. The winning listed candidate is YES and the rest are NO; Other makes no displayed candidate YES.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
