Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 10% to 11% at a 31% chance, ahead of 8% to 9% at 28% and 12% to 13% at 18%.
YES belongs to the bracket containing the rounded whole-number percentage of Black (African-American) voters choosing Republicans in the national US House exit poll for the 3 November 2026 midterms. Check CNN’s applicable national exit poll at 12:00 PM ET on 6 November 2026. If CNN has the poll but it is unavailable then, wait one full calendar day; next use CBS, then ABC. Round decimal percentages to the closest integer. When CNN, CBS and ABC have not published usable figures by 7 November 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the lowest listed bracket is YES. The named broadcaster’s poll is primary, followed by that fallback sequence.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
