Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, versus prices Nasir Idris at a 88% chance and Abubakar Malami at 10%.
YES belongs to the listed candidate officially elected governor of Kebbi State in the contest for the term beginning in 2027, scheduled for 6 February 2027 (a formally rescheduled election still counts). The winner must receive the highest number of votes and satisfy Nigeria's constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes; an acting or caretaker governor is not an answer. A runoff remains eligible before 31 October 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. If no official winner is known by that deadline, select Other. Reliable reporting is checked first, then Nigeria's INEC and government records settle any conflict. The winning outcome alone is YES and all others are NO. If Other applies, none of the displayed names wins.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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