Which country loses its World Cup co-hosting role by 31 Dec?

As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Paraguay at a 26% chance, ahead of Morocco at 14% and Portugal at 13%.

Category

sports

Closes

2026-12-31 23:55 UTC

Answers

6

Chances as of

2026-10-11 00:27 UTC

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FIFA announces the removal of the listed country as a host nation of the 2030 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement will resolve the market to "Yes" immediately. Any later retraction of, or amendment to, that announcement will not affect the resolution. If no qualifying announcement is made by 05:59 CET on 1 January 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official information from FIFA.

Answer options

• Spain8%
• Portugal13%
• Morocco14%
• Uruguay5%
• Argentina13%
• Paraguay26%

Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.