Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 55% chance and No at 45%.
YES applies when Penn State’s 2026 NCAA Division I football regular-season wins exceed 7.5 (8 or more wins). Count only official games played in the regular season that end in a win; the conference-title game, bowls, and playoff contests are outside the count. If weather, a forfeit, cancellation, or another cause leaves fewer games, count only wins actually recorded and never turn an unplayed game into a win. If the regular season is canceled, postponed after 26 December 2026 at 23:59 ET, or the total cannot be determined, answer NO. Official NCAA and conference records control, with reputable reporting taken together also usable.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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