Prediction
Answer Options
Learn as you go
As of 30 October 2026, 09:05 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 7% chance and No at 93%.
This prediction is about the vote for all 30 seats of the Hidalgo state Congress, set for 6 Jun 2027. YES if PRI comes first in the ranking below; anything else is NO. Parties are ordered first by seats won. When seats are level, the party whose proportional representation list drew more valid votes ranks higher. If that is level too, alphabetical order of the party names decides. Each elected deputy counts for the party under which the final results of the IEEH, Hidalgo's state electoral institute, register them. A district seat won by a coalition or joint candidacy counts for the party the deputy is assigned to under the coalition agreement filed with the IEEH, never for the coalition itself. Proportional seats count for the party they are given to. Later party switches or changes of parliamentary group are ignored. If the outcome is not definitively known by 23:59 ET on 31 Mar 2028, the win goes to Other, so NO. Consistent reports from reputable news outlets decide; in case of doubt, only the official results from the Hidalgo and Mexican authorities, including the IEEH, count.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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