Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 99% chance and No at 1%.
YES applies if Harry Kane is officially placed in positions 1 to 5 in the final 2026 men's Ballon d'Or ranking. If ties mean that more than five players share the top five places, France Football's official top-five list decides; players tied on the same place with no further official distinction between them are ordered alphabetically by name. A final place of 6th or lower is NO. Should the 2026 men's award be cancelled, or should no final ranking be out by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the answer is NO. The official Ballon d'Or announcement (ballondor.com) decides, together with statements from France Football and UEFA, the award's organisers; reliable news coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
