Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) at a 78% chance, ahead of Somewhere Over Laredo (Lainey Wilson) at 20% and Be Her (Ella Langley) at 4%.
YES goes to whichever listed single wins the Single of the Year award at the Country Music Association's 60th annual awards show (the CMA Awards), scheduled for 18 November 2026. A listed single that is missing from the official Single of the Year nominees once the 2026 nominations are out is NO straight away. If two or more singles tie for the award, YES goes only to the tied winner whose title is first alphabetically. If no winner has been declared by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, every listed answer is NO. The answer shown as “I Knew It… (Taylor Swift)” stands for Taylor Swift's single “I Knew It, I Knew You”. Official information from the Country Music Association and the CMA Awards, such as cmaawards.com and the ceremony's live broadcast, decides; reliable news coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
