Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Leonardo Montañez Castro at a 42% chance, ahead of Antonio Martín del Campo at 35% and Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez at 20%.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker governor will not qualify. If the result is not known definitively by 05:59 CET on January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Other". The market will resolve based on the result of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, it will resolve solely on the official results reported by government sources in Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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