Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, versus prices Jerri Green (Democrat) at a 6% chance and Marsha Blackburn (Republican) at 95%.
This prediction covers the general election for Governor of Tennessee held on 3 November 2026 (all dates in US Eastern Time, ET). YES goes to the option whose party's nominee wins: the Democratic option stands for the Democratic Party's nominee, Jerri Green, and the Republican option for the Republican Party's nominee, Marsha Blackburn. A candidate counts for a party only as that party's official nominee; anyone running as an independent is never counted as Democratic or Republican, whatever ties they may have to either party. The race is settled once the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC have all called it for the same candidate; if those three do not all call it for the same candidate, the officially certified result decides. If anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee wins, both options are NO, so at most one option can be YES.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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