Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 10% chance and No at 90%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Lebanon, Joseph Aoun, talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between the creation of this market and 05:59 on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by telephone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: the window opens at "market creation", which is not a dated event and should be pinned to a timestamp, and the 11:59 PM ET cut-off on December 31 converts to 05:59 CET the following morning, so the effective deadline falls on the day after the date shown in the title. The definition is also uneven, since "any interaction" occurring in person would capture a wordless encounter at a summit, while an exchange of letters or written messages would not qualify at all.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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