
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:29 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is December 31, 2027 at a 86% chance, ahead of July 31, 2027 at 26% and December 31, 2026 at 3%.
If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and 05:59 CET on the day following the specified date, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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