
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 86% chance and No at 14%.
YES applies if SMU finishes the 2026 NCAA Division I football regular season above 6.5 wins. Count only played regular-season victories; conference-title games, bowls and playoff games are excluded, and an unplayed or cancelled fixture adds no win. If the team plays fewer games, use its actual wins. If the season is cancelled, extends beyond 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or the total is unknowable by then, the answer is NO. Official NCAA and conference records control, with agreement among reputable reports as a fallback. A lower total is NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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