Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Goldman Sachs at a 78% chance, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 23% and JPMorgan at <1%.
This market resolves to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter of OpenAI’s initial public offering. If no IPO occurs by January 1, 2028, 5:59 AM CET, or if OpenAI completes an IPO without a designated lead underwriter, the market resolves to “Other.” If several banks are identified as lead underwriters, the market resolves to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, resolution waits until it is conclusively evident which bank is primary, including through the order in which banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI’s final IPO prospectus once released. The primary resolution source is official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @business
