Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC, versus prices N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas (Democratic nominee) at a 2% chance and Kevin Hern (Republican nominee) at 97%.
YES is the listed candidate option that represents the winner of Oklahoma's 2026 midterm U.S. Senate election, including any runoff. A candidate represents a party when that person is its nominee; candidates outside the Democratic and Republican nominees may be added later, and an independent is not included in either major-party option. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the name is updated and the replacement determines that party option. The Associated Press, Fox News and NBC must all call the same winner; otherwise the official certification controls. The winning listed option is YES and the other listed option is NO; resolution times are ET.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
