Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 12 October 2026, 09:21 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 21% chance and No at 79%.
YES if the total valid votes cast in Nevada's 2026 governor election come to at least 900,000 but under 975,000; otherwise NO. Certified votes for candidates and for non-candidate options are included; invalid or blank ballots are not, and in any preferential system the first-round totals are used. A total exactly on a boundary between two ranges belongs to the higher range. If the result is not definitive by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the answer is NO. The Nevada election authority certifying the result decides; overwhelming reliable reporting is the fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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