Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 14% chance and No at 86%.
YES applies if one player records more than 55 passing touchdowns in regular-season NFL games for 2026–27. Otherwise NO applies, subject to the exceptional settlement below. Combine that player’s games for every team they represent. Exclude all postseason rounds, including the championship. If the season is curtailed, use official statistics from games that were completed. Cancellation, postponement beyond 26 January 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or inability to determine whether the threshold was reached by that deadline results in equal settlement, with each side receiving one half. NFL official records are the primary evidence; agreement among reliable news accounts may also establish the result. Exactly 55 does not qualify; that is the existing record set in 2013 by Peyton Manning.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
