Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 09:18 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 67% chance and No at 33%.
YES if Peñarol is declared champion of Uruguay's Primera División for the 2026 season; if another club is champion, NO. Peñarol is NO straight away once the competition's rules make it impossible for it to take the title. If more than one club is declared champion, YES only if Peñarol comes first alphabetically among them. If the season is cancelled, is postponed past 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or still has no declared champion by then, NO. Official information from Uruguay's Primera División comes first; matching reports from reliable outlets may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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