Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:29 UTC, versus prices Blake Moore (R) at a 94% chance and Peter Crosby (D) at 4%.
YES goes to the live candidate label whose party wins Utah district UT-02 in the 3 November 2026 U.S. House midterm. Determine party from the ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House races are conclusively called; if a winner lacks a Democrat or Republican ballot affiliation, use the party whose caucus intent the winner most recently expressed at that time. Convergent reliable reports determine the result, with the Federal Election Commission controlling any ambiguity. The named labels represent party options, not a requirement that those individuals win. The winning listed party is YES and the other is NO; a different-party victory makes both NO. The election date is 3 November 2026 (ET).
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
