Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:32 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Israel at a 14% chance, ahead of Indonesia at 13% and Vietnam at 13%.
A listed country or entity resolves Yes if a free trade agreement with that country or entity becomes law in the United States by January 1, 2027, at 5:59 AM CET. Otherwise, it resolves No. This includes agreements approved through Senate ratification and presidential approval, as well as Congressional-Executive Agreements signed into law by the President. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Reuters
