Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 11 October 2026, 01:31 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 14% chance and No at 86%.
YES applies if Zack Polanski stops leading the Green Party in England and Wales at any point from 3 September 2026 at 13:27:19.188610 UTC through 31 October 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Even a temporary departure qualifies. A resignation or removal announced within that window also makes YES successful immediately, including when the actual departure is scheduled for later. If neither a departure nor a qualifying announcement occurs before the cutoff, the result is NO. Official statements from Polanski and the party are the primary evidence; agreement among reliable news reports may also establish the outcome.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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