Prediction
Answer Options
Learn as you go
As of 30 October 2026, 09:14 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 2% chance and No at 98%.
YES if Kash Patel stops being Director of the FBI at any point from now up to 23:59 ET on 31 Oct 2026 (03:59 UTC on 1 Nov), even for a short spell. Anything else is NO. An announcement of his resignation or removal made before that cut-off settles YES straight away, even if the departure itself takes effect later. The Trump administration's own announcements decide the outcome; consistent reports from reputable news outlets may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
