Prediction
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As of 30 October 2026, 09:23 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 26% chance and No at 74%.
This prediction is about turnout in Spain's general election for the Congress of Deputies, scheduled for 29 Nov 2026. Turnout is the number of votes cast divided by the number of registered voters. YES if the official turnout rate falls in this range: from 68% up to (but not including) 70%. Anything else is NO. A rate exactly on the boundary between two ranges counts for the higher range only. If the results are still not definitively known by 23:59 ET on 30 Nov 2027, the lowest range (under 62%) is treated as the winner and every other range is NO. The official figures of the Spanish government decide, in particular the Interior Ministry's infoelectoral site (infoelectoral.interior.gob.es). If official results are not available, consistent reports from reputable news outlets may be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
