Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 21:33 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 12% chance and No at 88%.
YES if the Republican Party nominee wins Nevada's 2026 statewide contest for Secretary of State, scheduled for 3 November 2026. If that nominee changes before election day, the replacement is treated as the Republican nominee. NO if a Democrat, another party's candidate or an independent wins, or if the result is not definitively known by 31 July 2027 at 11:59 PM ET; the unlisted Other outcome maps to NO. A consensus of credible election reporting decides. If that consensus is ambiguous, the official result from the authority certifying Nevada's statewide contest decides.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
