Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Mary Peltola at a 73% chance, ahead of Dan Sullivan at 27% and Ann Diener at <1%.
Resolves to the winner of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Alaska, including any runoff. The election is currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market resolves to “Other.” The resolution sources are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The market resolves once all three call the race for the same candidate. If all three do not call the race for the same candidate, resolution is based on official certification.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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