Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:26 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 44% chance and No at 56%.
YES if the Michigan Wolverines (University of Michigan) finish their 2026 NCAA Division I football regular season with more than 6.5 wins, meaning 7 or more. Wins are counted from official regular-season games alone; conference title games, bowls and College Football Playoff contests are left out, even where the NCAA lists them as official. Scheduled games that are not played, whether because of cancellation, weather, a forfeit or any other reason, add no win; every regular-season game that Michigan actually plays and wins counts. If the 2026 Division I regular season is cancelled, is postponed beyond 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or Michigan's regular-season win total cannot be established within that time, NO. Official NCAA and conference records, such as ncaa.com, decide; reliable sports reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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