Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 01:28 UTC, versus prices Jeff Crank (R) at a 75% chance and Jessica Killin (D) at 26%.
YES goes to the label representing the party that wins Colorado district CO-05 in the 3 November 2026 House election. Party affiliation is assessed when all of the 2026 House contests have been conclusively called: use ballot affiliation or another identifiable party connection. If the candidate has neither a Democratic nor a Republican affiliation on the ballot, use the latest stated intention to caucus with one of those parties at that assessment time. Agreement among reliable reports establishes the result; any ambiguity is decided solely by official U.S. results from the Federal Election Commission. The names identify party options rather than personal-win requirements. A listed party that wins is YES; the other is NO, and an unlisted-party win makes both NO. The election date is 3 November 2026 (ET).
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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