Prediction
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As of 12 October 2026, 09:21 UTC, versus prices Yes at a <1% chance and No at >99%.
YES only if Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes wins the 2027 election for governor of the Mexican state of Querétaro, scheduled for 6 June 2027; if any other candidate wins, NO. Someone serving only as interim or caretaker governor does not count. If the result is not known definitively by 31 December 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, NO. Broad agreement in credible election coverage settles the winner; where reports conflict, the Querétaro state electoral institute and Mexico's national electoral authority (INE) decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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