Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This market resolves Yes if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by January 1, 2027, 5:59 AM CET. Otherwise, it resolves No. The registration must be filed with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Reuters
