Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 20:34 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 27% chance and No at 73%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: this market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
