Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 21:21 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 2% chance and No at 98%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026 and January 1, 2027, 05:59 CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An officially announced agreement will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when it is scheduled to take effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land becomes the 51st U.S. state within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
