Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, versus prices JoCasta Zamarripa (D) at a 84% chance and Jay Schroeder (R) at 14%.
Covers the 2026 election for Wisconsin Secretary of State, scheduled for 3 November 2026. Each answer stands for a party: 'JoCasta Zamarripa (D)' for the Democratic Party and 'Jay Schroeder (R)' for the Republican Party. The names are those parties' nominees; if either is replaced as their party's nominee before election day, the answer follows the replacement nominee. YES goes to the answer for the winning candidate's party, so at most one answer can be YES. If the winner belongs to neither the Democratic nor the Republican Party, both answers are NO. If the result is not definitively known by 31 July 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, both answers are NO. Broad agreement among reliable election reports decides; if it is unclear, the official results from the authority that certifies the election (the Wisconsin Elections Commission) decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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