
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 12 October 2026, 09:19 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 98% chance and No at 2%.
YES if Stephen Curry (Steph Curry, the Golden State Warriors guard) has not officially joined a new team by 11 February 2027 at 11:59 PM ET and is still under contract with the Golden State Warriors at that time; otherwise NO. If a trade sending him to another team is officially announced before that time, the answer is NO immediately. If he officially joins any other team by then (including a club outside the NBA), the answer is NO. If at that time he has been released, has retired or has no contract with any professional team, the answer is NO. Official announcements by the Golden State Warriors or by the acquiring club decide; reliable media coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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