Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:28 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 4% chance and No at 96%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by January 1, 2027, 05:59 CET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “visit” is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters Gaza’s airspace or maritime territory during this market’s timeframe will have no bearing on its resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the Strip, will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, or official information from Trump or his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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