Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at a 47% chance, ahead of Madrid at 38% and Moroccan city at 13%.
YES goes to the answer that matches the city FIFA officially confirms as host of the final of the 2030 men's FIFA World Cup, which is currently planned for 21 July 2030. Only an official FIFA confirmation of the chosen stadium or city counts; bids, venue shortlists, recommendations by national federations or bid committees, and media reports about FIFA's choice do not count by themselves. If FIFA names a stadium instead of a city, the answer follows the city that FIFA's official 2030 World Cup material gives as that stadium's home city. Portuguese city covers any host city in Portugal, and Moroccan city covers any host city in Morocco. Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 is YES if FIFA confirms a host city that is not Barcelona, Madrid or a city in Portugal or Morocco (for example another Spanish city), or if FIFA has not officially confirmed a host city for the final by 31 December 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying confirmation made by that time settles the matching answer at once, even if the venue or the date of the final changes later. Exactly one answer is YES; all others are NO. Official information from FIFA decides; reliable news coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
