Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:30 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 19% chance and No at 81%.
YES applies when Rubén Rocha Moya is physically placed in U.S. government custody through extradition or an equivalent transfer from the prediction’s opening through 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Entry into the United States followed by arrest or another custody transfer by the cutoff also qualifies. A request, approval, order, or agreement alone does not. Use official records from Rocha Moya, Mexico, Sinaloa, the U.S. government, and relevant courts; a consistent body of reputable reports may decide a clear case.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
