Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 11:22 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This prediction identifies the first different fighter to replace Islam Makhachev at number one in the UFC pound-for-pound ranking, by 23:59 ET on 31 Dec 2026. YES only if that immediate successor is Tom Aspinall. If another fighter replaces Makhachev first, the answer is NO, even if Aspinall reaches the top later. NO also applies if Makhachev stays first throughout the period or nobody succeeds him before the deadline. A later ranking change does not count. Use the UFC's official ranking information, including its athletes website. Publication timing and the identity of the next number one are determined by that official information; no alternative publisher is specified.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
