Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:05 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 52% chance and No at 48%.
YES if a driver of Mercedes sets the fastest time in qualifying for the 2026 Formula 1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for 7 November 2026, as shown in the FIA's official qualifying classification; otherwise NO. Grid penalties, disqualifications or other changes to the starting order made afterwards do not alter this: a team whose driver topped qualifying stays YES even if that driver later starts further back. If the Grand Prix is cancelled or moved to a date after 14 November 2026 (no separate time zone is stated), every team is NO. Official Formula 1 and FIA records decide; where they leave doubt, broad agreement in reliable sports reporting is used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
