Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:04 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 52% chance and No at 48%.
This prediction concerns the NBA's 2026-27 regular season. YES if Ivica Zubac is the eligible player with the greatest Player Efficiency Rating (PER), after the tie procedure below. PER measures productivity per minute using John Hollinger's formula. Any other result is NO, including a winner outside the listed players. Eligibility normally requires at least 58 appearances. Combine a player's statistics across all clubs represented during that season. Count regular-season fixtures, including NBA Cup group matches and elimination rounds except its title game. Exclude the preseason, the Cup final, the Play-In, the playoffs and the All-Star fixture. If the campaign ends early or is shortened for any reason, use completed games and lower the appearance requirement to 70% of the games completed by that player's team, rounding upward to a whole game. Compare PER at the published precision of one decimal place. If leaders are level, the greater regular-season Win Shares figure from Basketball-Reference breaks the tie; a remaining tie means NO for each named player involved. Cancellation, a delay beyond 25 Apr 2027 at 23:59 ET, or uncertainty about the eligible leader by that time means NO. Basketball-Reference's published statistics decide. If that provider is unavailable, use agreement among reputable statistical providers, such as ESPN, calculating PER with the same formula.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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