Prediction
Answer Options
As of 11 October 2026, 00:27 UTC, versus prices Democrats at a 14% chance and Republicans at 82%.
YES goes to the displayed party that wins the largest share of white voters in the national exit poll for the US House in the midterm elections scheduled for 3 November 2026, as shown by CNN. CNN's relevant exit-poll page is read at 12:00 noon ET on 6 November 2026. If CNN has such a poll but it cannot be viewed at that time, allow one more full calendar day for it to become available; if it is still unavailable after that, or CNN provides no applicable exit poll, use the exit poll from CBS, and if CBS has none either, the one from ABC. If parties tie for the largest share, the tied party whose name comes first alphabetically is YES. If none of CNN, CBS or ABC provides an applicable exit poll by 7 November 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, both displayed answers are NO; both are also NO if a party other than the Democrats or the Republicans comes out on top. The exit poll of the outlet chosen by this order decides. At most one answer is YES.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
