Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:59 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 48% chance and No at 52%.
This prediction covers the Formula 1 drivers' championship for 2026. YES if George Russell receives third place in the final driver classification. Otherwise NO. Decide once official results are available for the season's last scheduled race, rather than merely when that race ends. Apply Formula 1's own final-position tie procedure when drivers are level. If the championship rules make third place impossible for George Russell, including mathematical elimination, settle NO immediately. Permanent cancellation or failure to complete the season by 28 Feb 2027 at 23:59 ET also means NO. Formula 1's official information is the primary evidence; no alternative authority is specified.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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